What PM Modi’s third term means for the world?
As Narendra Modi embarks on his third term as Prime Minister, he is poised to elevate India’s presence on the global stage, leveraging his experience and seniority among world leaders.
With a focus on positioning India as a leader of the Global South and vying for a permanent seat on the United Nations Security Council, Modi’s next five years promise to be transformative for India’s diplomatic endeavors.
United States and Europe: Strengthening Strategic Ties
India’s relationships with the United States and European countries have seen significant growth, characterized by robust defense and economic partnerships.
The Quad alliance, comprising India, the US, Japan, and Australia, aims to counter China’s increasing assertiveness in the Asia-Pacific region.
Congratulations to Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the National Democratic Alliance on their victory, and the nearly 650 million voters in this historic election.
The friendship between our nations is only growing as we unlock a shared future of unlimited potential.
— President Biden (@POTUS) June 5, 2024
This strategic positioning was underscored by President Joe Biden hosting Modi for a state dinner, where Biden highlighted the US-India partnership as a defining relationship of the 21st century.
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In a move to bolster India’s defense capabilities, Washington recently approved a $4 billion sale of state-of-the-art drones.
Additionally, India seeks to expand its defense deals with France, including the acquisition of Rafale fighter jets and Scorpene-class submarines, further enhancing its military prowess.
Complex Relations with China:
India’s relationship with China remains fraught with tension.
The two countries, both members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, experienced a significant setback in 2020 following a deadly skirmish along their 3,500-kilometer border.
Despite ongoing territorial disputes and a substantial military presence on both sides, China remains India’s second-largest trading partner.
Analysts predict that adversarial relations will persist, with India striving to curb China’s assertiveness through strategic alliances and increased military spending.
Championing the Global South:
Modi has consistently portrayed India as a leading voice for the Global South, advocating for greater representation of developing nations in global decision-making forums.
Under his leadership, the African Union was granted permanent membership in the G20, reflecting India’s commitment to elevating the influence of Asian, African, and South American nations.
Modi’s recent remarks underscore New Delhi’s ambition to be a powerful advocate for these countries on the world stage.
Enduring Ties with Russia:
India’s historical ties with Russia, dating back to the Cold War, remain strong.
Russia continues to be India’s primary arms supplier, and New Delhi has taken a neutral stance on the Ukraine conflict, abstaining from UN resolutions condemning Moscow.
Modi’s congratulatory message to President Vladimir Putin on his re-election further emphasizes the “special” relationship between the two nations.
Persistent Tensions with Pakistan:
India’s relationship with Pakistan continues to be marred by historical conflicts and ongoing tensions.
The two nuclear-armed neighbors have fought three wars and numerous smaller skirmishes since their independence in 1947, with Kashmir being a perpetual flashpoint.
While Modi made a surprising visit to Lahore in 2015, relations soured again by 2019.
Despite occasional gestures of goodwill, such as Modi congratulating Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on his premiership, substantial diplomatic engagement remains elusive.
Legacy and Future Prospects:
With three election victories, Modi stands as one of the most experienced leaders on the global stage.
His ambitious vision for India’s role in international affairs is unlikely to wane, as he seeks to solidify his legacy as a transformative figure in Indian and global politics.
By bidding to host the 2036 Summer Olympics and continuing to assert India’s strategic interests, Modi aims to ensure that India’s voice resonates powerfully across the world.
