Congress will face four major battles in 2023

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The U.S. is headed for another era of divided government in the new year, as Republicans are poised to claim control of the House of Representatives on Jan. 3. Democrats will wield an expanded 51-seat Senate majority and control the presidency. Congress will face four major battles in 2023.

As recent decades have shown, split control of Congress can get messy in an age of rising partisanship and political acrimony. And the dynamics on the two ends of Pennsylvania Avenue will set the backdrop for the 2024 presidential election.

Here are four battles that loom on Capitol Hill this year.

A House leadership fight

Can Kevin McCarthy win or hold on to the speaker’s gavel?

McCarthy, R-Calif., is facing a rebellion from a band of conservative flame-throwers vowing to deny him the speakership Tuesday when the House takes its first-floor vote of the new Congress.

If the rebels — led by Reps. Matt Gaetz, R-Fla., and Andy Biggs, R-Ariz. make good on their word, they could send the speaker’s vote to multiple ballots for the first time in a century.

McCarthy, who has led House Republicans in the minority for the past four years, won his party’s nomination for speaker in a closed-door, secret-ballot vote in November. In fact, he trounced Biggs, 188-31, winning 85% of his GOP conference.

But he’ll need 218 votes on the floor to secure the speakership.

In a call with House Republicans Sunday night, McCarthy outlined concessions he would be willing to make in order to obtain the gavel, including a rule change that would water down the power of the speaker, according to CNN, which cited multiple sources on the call. The change would make it easier for rank-and-file members to oust a speaker in the middle of the Congress and was a key demand from members of the conservative House Freedom Caucus who had been withholding their support.

Still, nine House Republicans current and incoming said in a letter dated Sunday and obtained by NBC News that McCarthy had yet to do enough to earn their support.

On top of that, there is the smaller group of five “Never Kevins” who say they won’t back McCarthy under any circumstance.

McCarthy can afford only a handful of GOP defections because of the party’s razor-thin majority. McCarthy allies say the guerrilla tactics from conservatives will only delay the new House GOP majority from getting off to a strong start and launching investigations into the Biden administration — because the House can’t conduct any business until it has elected a speaker.

Averting government shutdowns

Even if the divided Congress leads to legislative gridlock, it will still have to keep the lights on. That will be no easy task: Republican-led Houses have sparked shutdowns under the last two Democratic presidents. Will President Joe Biden be an exception?

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